Exit Polls Predict a BJP Win in the 2024 Lok Sabha Elections

BJP Win in the 2024 Lok Sabha Elections


Author: Hriday Verma

Published: June 3, 2024

Have you ever wondered how experts try to guess election results even before the votes are counted? Well, that’s where exit polls come into play! These polls are like a sneak peek behind the curtain. They ask people leaving the polling booths about their choices. And guess what?  According to the exit polls, the BJP-NDA alliance is likely to achieve a significant victory in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. However, it should be noted that these predictions are similar to weather forecasts – they can be accurate at times and also inaccurate at other times.

Details of Different Exit Polls

We will now examine the specifics of exit polls carried out by different agencies and newspapers regarding the 2024 Indian Lok Sabha elections. These exit polls provide insights into the predicted outcomes but remember that they are not always perfectly accurate.

Axis My India Exit Poll

According to the Axis My India exit poll, the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), led by the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), is projected to secure a substantial victory.

  • Their calculations suggest that the NDA could potentially secure 361 to 401 seats out of the total 543 parliamentary seats.
  • This resounding triumph reinforces the party’s impressive electoral results and the leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi.

Today’s Chanakya Exit Poll

According to Today’s Chanakya, the BJP-led NDA is likely to achieve a significant victory in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. Their predictions suggest that the NDA could win an impressive 385-415 out of 543 parliamentary seats.

Other Exit Polls

Various other exit polls have provided different estimates:

  • ABP News-C Voter: Predicts the NDA to win between 353 to 383 seats.
  • Republic Bharat-P Marq: Projects the NDA to secure 359 seats.
  • India News-D-Dyanamics: Forecasts the NDA to win 371 seats.
  • Dainik Bhaskar: Estimates a range of 281 to 350 seats for the NDA.
  • News Nation: Suggests the NDA could secure 342 to 378 seats.
  • TV 9 Bharatvarsh-Polstrat: Predicts 342 seats for the NDA.
  • Times Now-ETG: Expects the NDA to win 358 seats.
  • India TV-CNX: Projects the NDA to secure 362 to 392 seats.
  • Jan Ki Baat: Also predicts 362 to 392 seats for the NDA.

These exit polls have also indicated:

  • NDA dominance in Karnataka and Maharashtra.
  • Left-led alliance’s rout in Kerala.
  • The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is anticipated to have improved performance in Bengal compared to the previous election, potentially leading to them becoming the party with the most Lok Sabha seats.

Reasons for NDA Dominance in 2024 Lok Sabha Exit Polls

Hat-Trick for PM Modi and NDA

  • Historic Third Term: Exit polls predict that Prime Minister Narendra Modi is all set to achieve a hat-trick by winning a third consecutive term. This would make him the second prime minister after Jawaharlal Nehru to retain power for three terms.
  • Clean Sweep: Most exit polls indicate a clean sweep for the BJP-led NDA government, with projections exceeding 350 seats. Some even predict the NDA touching the 400-seat mark.

INDIA Bloc Falls Short

  • Opposition INDIA Bloc: The opposition coalition, formed to contest against the BJP, appears to have been unsuccessful in winning over voters. According to exit polls, the INDIA coalition is expected to secure less than 150 seats.
  • Congress Chief’s Prediction: Congress chief Mallikarjun Kharge had predicted 285 seats for the INDIA bloc, but exit polls suggest a different story.

BJP’s Southward Push

Inroads in South: Prime Minister Modi’s aggressive campaigning in the southern states has paid off. Exit polls suggest significant gains for the BJP in states like Kerala, where they might even win their first Lok Sabha seat. The BJP’s vote share in the region is also expected to increase.

Setback for TMC in West Bengal

  • BJP Gains in Bengal: Exit polls indicate gains for the BJP in West Bengal, halting the ruling TMC’s winning streak. The BJP is expected to increase its 2019 tally of 18 seats to 22 seats in the state.
  • TMC’s Limited Seats: Mamata Banerjee’s TMC might be limited to just 19 out of 42 seats in West Bengal.

Voters’ Verdict in Delhi

  • BJP Dominance in Delhi: Exit polls predict a clean sweep for the BJP in Delhi, with all 7 seats likely going to the party. The coalition between Arvind Kejriwal’s Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) and the Congress party did not garner significant support from voters in the nation’s capital.

Hindi Heartland Continues to Favor BJP

  • BJP’s Dominance: The BJP-led NDA is expected to win around 70 out of 80 seats in Uttar Pradesh, a crucial state in shaping political power. The party’s stronghold in the Hindi belt remains intact.

It is important to note that these exit polls are simply forecasts and the official results will be declared by the Election Commission of India on June 4.

Bottom Line

As the dust settles after the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, exit polls have painted a clear picture. The BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) appears poised for a resounding victory. Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s leadership and the BJP’s strong campaign seem to have struck a chord with voters across the country. While exit polls provide valuable insights, we must remember that they are not infallible. The actual results, which will be officially announced soon, may still hold surprises. But for now, the exit polls suggest a triumphant return for the NDA. Stay tuned for the final verdict!

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